GVPT306 Blog #1: The Future of Climate Change
Climate change may be the most prominent
and pressing global environmental issue of our time. The problems associated
with climate change are well known and include higher global temperatures,
changing landscapes (melting glaciers), rising seas, increased risks of floods/droughts,
species extinction, stronger storms, and increased risk of infectious diseases.
Although the problems are well known, it is the link of climate change to
carbon emissions that is complex both scientifically and politically. However,
as the world continues to warm, countries from around the globe are becoming
increasingly anxious about the future of the planet, and may finally be ready
to make the necessary strides to curb carbon emissions. In a recent article in
the New York Times, President Barack Obama called on both the United States and
China to make drastic changes in order to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions
(Landler and Davenport, 2014). As discussed in class, both the United States
and China have generally been seen as ‘dragger states’ when it comes to cutting
down on carbon, but according to this article, President Obama is finally ready
to step up to the plate and wants China to join him. The question remains, is
China willing and able to make the change with us?
The New York Times article, entitled
“Obama Presses Chinese on Global Warming,” describes President Obama’s newest initiative
to resolve the world’s growing concern about climate change. He calls on
China’s President Xi Jinping to
take the first steps with him. As the world’s two largest economies as well as
polluters, President Obama claims that the United States and China “bear a special
responsibility to lead” the worldwide initiative to cut down on carbon
emissions (Landler and Davenport, 2014). Furthermore, President Obama states
that the United States “would
meet a pledge to reduce its carbon emissions by 17 percent, from 2005 levels,
by 2020,” and expects China to come up with a similar plan of their own
(Landler and Davenport, 2014). The Chinese government responded that they are
currently devising a plan to reduce their emissions in the years to come
(Landler and Davenport, 2014).
At this time, climate change remains
an uphill battle. Due to the scientific and political nature of the issue,
climate change is not only complicated to fix, but also requires the world to
be selfless, which is nearly impossible for countries who are trying to develop
and industrialize. For example, as discussed in class, climate change can be
classified as a global commons problem, and some of the solutions to a global
commons problem include total participation, voluntary restraint, and
socialization (getting people to think about the commons in a different way).
Nevertheless, developing countries such as India are not willing to put in the
voluntary restraint the world currently needs (because their main focus is on
industrialization), which defeats the idea of total participation. Total
participation is a vital part of the combat against climate change because
almost every country in the world is both a victim, as well as a villain, when
it comes to emitting, so it is everyone’s responsibility to cut carbon.
With the United States and China
shifting from ‘dragger’ to ‘pusher states,’ the future of climate change may
finally be moving in the right direction. Although the plan to drastically cut
carbon emissions is just the tip of the iceberg, it may be the beginning of a
positive global shift to slow (and ultimately reverse) climate change. Even
though past international efforts have not made much headway (for example, the
Kyoto Protocol), the world’s biggest emitters are finally accepting their
responsibility to cut greenhouse gas emissions. President Barack Obama’s pledge
to cut down on emissions is a huge win for the environment. As the New York
Times article states, President Obama said in a speech last week, “There should be no question that the United States
of America is stepping up to the plate. We recognize our role in creating this
problem; we embrace our responsibility to combat it” (Landler and Davenport,
2014). If we can get China to change its approach to carbon emissions, there
might be a chance to impact climate change in the future.
Until then, we will have to wait and see
how countries around the world choose to prioritize. If huge emitters such as
China and the United States can follow through with their plans to curb their
carbon emissions, other countries will certainly follow their lead. Although
battling climate change has not been very successful in the past, scientists,
environmentalists and now world leaders are coming together to make strategic steps towards a greener future. If China is willing and
able to reduce their emissions, the world will surely see a positive shift in
the years to come.
Landler, Mark,
and Davenport, Coral. “Obama Presses Chinese on Global Warming.” September 23, 2014.
The New York Times. <http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/24/world/asia/obama-at-un-climate-summit-calls-for-vast-international-effort.html?_r=0>
I agree that China is slowly shifting away from being a dragger. As someone brought up in class, China's recent severe smog and pollution problems may serve as a push for them to seriously act on climate change. I also agree with your assessment that once China, and therefore the US, are on board with emissions reductions, almost all other contributors will follow.
ReplyDeleteGetting the Chinese on board would bode well for addressing climate change in the future. As Carley stated, environmental issues like smog and pollution hitting home with them would be the reason they slowly are becoming pushers. With two powerful states like the Chinese and the U.S. addressing these issues many smaller states would join due to their influence.
ReplyDeleteIn the past couple of years, China has passed legislation that makes it seemingly more democratic. This can be seen in their pro-environmental policies. As Theo said, two superpowers taking charge in the fight against global warming could convince other countries to join them. The only issue I foresee is the difficulty that a lot of the developing countries could have in joining, especially those with governments who don't serve the people.
ReplyDeleteI agree that the main difficulty will be getting developing countries on board - as we've seen so far with China. I think getting China to crack down on curbing emissions is huge, and sends a message to other large and developing countries that it cannot be an option anymore, but rather a requirement.
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